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JULY-AUGUST ~ 2020

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Thank god bases will be back this week, just dabbling a little in exhibition dogs for now.


7/20/2020 8:05 PM Reduced Baseball
  • 909 Chicago Cubs* +106 vs Chicago White Sox
    2/2.12
  • 914 Kansas City Royals* +148 vs Houston Astros
    1.8/2.66
7/20/2020 9:10 PM Reduced Baseball
  • 917 Los Angeles Angels* +107 vs San Diego Padres
    1/1.07
1595289695753.png
 
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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Tuesday

7/21/2020 9:40:01 PM MLB Baseball
939 Los Angeles Angels/Los Angeles Dodgers Over 8½ -120
2.4/2

7/21/2020 7:30:01 PM Reduced Baseball
929 Toronto Blue Jays +126* vs Boston Red Sox
2.5/3.15
7/21/2020 6:40:01 PM Reduced Baseball
935 Detroit Tigers +179* vs Cincinnati Reds
1/1.79
7/21/2020 9:45:01 PM Reduced Baseball
942 San Francisco Giants +126* vs Oakland Athletics
1.5/1.89
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
3-1 yesterday and this will likely this will be the last of my exhibition action as they'll be back for real tomorrow :clapping2:


[4-3 +3.28u]​
  • 4:00 PM 979 Miami Marlins/Atlanta Braves Over 8½ -125
    2.5/2
  • 4:00 PM 980 Atlanta Braves -155 vs Miami Marlins
    1.86/1.2
  • 6:10 PM 983 Detroit Tigers +1½ -115 vs Cincinnati Reds
    1.38/1.2
  • 7:30 PM 981 Toronto Blue Jays +104 vs Boston Red Sox
    1.75/1.82
  • 8:10 PM 989 Milwaukee Brewers +113 vs Chicago White Sox
    1/1.13

1595424699641.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
[6-5-1 +1.25u]

Exhibition over after only 3 days for me. 2-2-1 yesterday and at least I finished up a tad. Thankfully we have meaningful bases starting today and I believe the shorten season will make all the teams play much harder, especially at first when it's wide open.
 
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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Today the season really begins for REAL!!!​
  • 902 Washington Nationals +122 vs New York Yankees
    G Cole - R Listed M Scherzer - R Listed
    2/2.44
  • 901 New York Yankees/Washington Nationals Under 7½ -105
    G Cole - R Listed M Scherzer - R Listed
    2.73/2.60
  • 904 Los Angeles Dodgers* -1½ -140 vs San Francisco Giants
    J Cueto - R Listed C Kershaw - L Listed
    2.1/1.5

Doyers 7-2 L9 vs Gints (6-3 RL)
Cueto look very average in Sept return from injury last year
Nats as home dog when total under 8 are only 6-14 last 6 years KillerSports.com
NYY 20-8 18.5% ROI as fav when total < 8 last 6 years KillerSports.com

This year I'm starting with a lower unit value and most of my plays will be risking 2-5 units. 2.5u would be equal to a typical unit last year.

Will get model up and running but I do need some stats from this year to make it work. Typically I like to run is 5-6 weeks before using, but base on situation I will have it running by Aug 1.

:cheers3:
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Mistakenly posted my LAD plays to another thread after Kershaw was scratched. 1-1 with slight loss, but for the sake of accurate tracking

  • San Francisco Giants/Los Angeles Dodgers* Over 9½ -105
    J Cueto - R Listed D May - R Listed
    2.1/2
  • Los Angeles Dodgers* -1½ -145 vs San Francisco Giants
    J Cueto - R Listed D May - R Listed
    2.03//1.4
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
1595617419168.png[1-2 -2.6]

Friday​
  • 964 Boston Red Sox -200 vs Baltimore Orioles
    T Milone - L Listed N Eovaldi - R Listed
    2.5/1.25
  • 969 Pittsburgh Pirates +1½ -120 vs St. Louis Cardinals
    J Musgrove - R Listed J Flaherty - R Listed
    2.16/1.8
  • 969 Pittsburgh Pirates/St. Louis Cardinals Under 8 +100
    J Musgrove - R Listed J Flaherty - R Listed
    2.2/2.20
  • 952 New York Mets -1½ +135 vs Atlanta Braves
    M Soroka - R Listed J deGrom - R Listed
    1.4/1.89
  • 955 Toronto Blue Jays/Tampa Bay Rays Under 7½ +105
    H Ryu - L Listed C Morton - R Listed
    2.2/2.31
  • 961 Milwaukee Brewers/Chicago Cubs Under 8½ +105
    B Woodruff - R Listed K Hendricks - R Listed
    2.2/2.31
  • 973 Arizona Diamondbacks +134 vs San Diego Padres
    M Bumgarner - L Listed C Paddack - R Listed
    2.5/3.35
  • 973 Arizona Diamondbacks/San Diego Padres Under 8 +103
    M Bumgarner - L Listed C Paddack - R Listed
    3/3.09
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Favs 14-2 first 2 days. 5D no longer offering listed pitchers as everything is action goes :rolleyes:

gonna roll with chalk today while still reduced nickel lined


  • 7/25/2020 1:05 PM Reduced Baseball 901 Milwaukee Brewers* +136 vs Chicago Cubs
    Fixed Price
    any pitcher has action
    2/2.72
  • 7/25/2020 1:35 PM Reduced Baseball 904 Boston Red Sox* -189 vs Baltimore Orioles
    Fixed Price
    any pitcher has action
    3.78/2
  • 7/25/2020 2:15 PM Reduced Baseball 908 St. Louis Cardinals* -143 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    Fixed Price
    any pitcher has action
    2.86/2
  • 7/25/2020 3:10 PM Reduced Baseball 910 Tampa Bay Rays* -135 vs Toronto Blue Jays
    Fixed Price
    any pitcher has action
    2.7/2
  • 7/25/2020 4:05 PM Reduced Baseball 912 Philadelphia Phillies* -172 vs Miami Marlins
    Fixed Price
    any pitcher has action
    3.1/1.8
  • 7/25/2020 4:05 PM Reduced Baseball 914 Texas Rangers* -107 vs Colorado Rockies
    Fixed Price
    any pitcher has action
    2.14/2
  • 7/25/2020 4:10 PM Reduced Baseball 916 Houston Astros* -1½ -135 vs Seattle Mariners
    Fixed Price
    any pitcher has action
    2.7/2
  • 7/25/2020 4:10 PM Reduced Baseball 918 Oakland Athletics* -127 vs Los Angeles Angels
    Fixed Price
    any pitcher has action
    2.54/2
  • 7/25/2020 5:10 PM Reduced Baseball 924 Cincinnati Reds* -1½ -110 vs Detroit Tigers
    Fixed Price
    any pitcher has action
    2.2/2
  • 7/25/2020 7:15 PM Reduced Baseball 928 Washington Nationals* +1½ -140 vs New York Yankees
    Fixed Price
    any pitcher has action
    2.8/2
  • 7/25/2020 9:10 PM Reduced Baseball 930 San Diego Padres* -1½ +165 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
    Fixed Price
    any pitcher has action
    1.6/2.64
5AF0F7C0-0985-4FD8-9481-9545E87EFED7.jpeg
 
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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YTD - [17-16-3 -2.35u]
Yesterday - [7-4 +5.48u]​
  • 958 Cincinnati Reds -1½ +100 vs Detroit Tigers
    2.25/2.25
  • 961 Baltimore Orioles/Boston Red Sox Over 11 -110
    2.75/2.5
  • 962 Boston Red Sox -1½ -110 vs Baltimore Orioles
    2.64/2.4
  • 963 Minnesota Twins -1½ +115 vs Chicago White Sox
    2.2/2.53
  • 966 Houston Astros -1½ -150 vs Seattle Mariners
    3.3/2.2
  • 968 St. Louis Cardinals -139 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    3.48/2.5
  • 974 Oakland Athletics +101 vs Los Angeles Angels
    3/3.03
  • 975 Arizona Diamondbacks +103 vs San Diego Padres
    2.6/2.68
  • 975 Arizona Diamondbacks/San Diego Padres Under 8½ -110
    2.75/2.50
  • 978 New York Mets -109 vs Atlanta Braves
    2.18/2.00

 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Going back to last year, I experimented with a system I called chasing the line. To recap it's when a team plays the same team again and the line is at least 20 cents higher. Both games at same venue and the same team was favored in both. I have also added that's it's series game 2 or higher. The theory being, when the book moves the lines that much...they are trying to induce plays on the other side.

So far it has went 2-5 this year, but I will be tracking it starting today. I'm not playing it yet but may start soon.

You can see over 5 years it has won 59.2% for a 8.2% ROI
Last year it went 61.4% for a 12.3% ROI

Also see here is has been profitable 7 of last 8 years, with 5 of the years literally killing it!

1595767585417.png

Here's today's:

Indicated plays would be [HOU, MIL, NYM, MIA, TEX, MIN]
1595767035824.png
 

BenchCoach

Well-Known Member
Have you experimented with changing the qualification from 20pt line move to 25 or 30? Also hm vs @? I’ll be watching this as well, think there is something to it
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
The same theory also applies to totals. You have to use 2 SDQL queries to get the results.

First one for when the total moves at least 1 run higher, bet the over.

4-3 so far this year and BOS/BAL indicated today

1595768163267.png

Second one will be when total drop at least 1 run.

No indicated plays today but 2-0 so far this year and significantly higher 13.5% ROI over last 5 years

1595768291724.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Have you experimented with changing the qualification from 20pt line move to 25 or 30? Also hm vs @? I’ll be watching this as well, think there is something to it
I did a lot of variation last year and the numbers were very similar in all scenarios. Even if I omit the series game 2 or higher requirement it uses last game to compare back to previous season sometimes and still produces very similar numbers. I just thought that looks more like a reach or inconsequential so I added the series game >1.

Here is home and away over last 5 seasons. Away is 9.5% ROI vs 7.4 but both very good and many more chances at home

1595768751688.png

One difference was with the RL the away team did perform significantly better, but only at 7.2% ROI so ML the better option still
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
adding a couple​
  1. 970 Chicago Cubs -102 vs Milwaukee Brewers
    2.3/2.25
  2. 969 Milwaukee Brewers/Chicago Cubs* Under 12 -110
    1.87
    /1.7
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Here's a query I ran across that has performed quite well. Not playing personally but thought I would share. Relevance probably not as strong since this is July and the query is for the first 20 games of the season; away dog >= 130 off a loss in a day game with no rest. Still over 15 years and near 9% ROI is pretty solid.

SEA, PIT, MIA, TOR all indicated for today.


game number <= 20 and AD and p:DAY and rest + op:rest = 0 and p:L and line >= 130

SU:98-132 (-0.77, 42.6%) avg line: 159.5 / -174.4 on / against: +$2,051 / -$3,350 ROI: +8.9% / -8.4%
RL:109-65 (0.85, 62.6%) avg line: -139.7 / 125.7 on / against: +$2,042 / -$2,902 ROI: +8.3% / -16.4%
RunsWalksSOHitsXBHHRSIIMRIILLOBTLOBODPSRAPU
Team4.213.058.108.571.830.912.491.003.1214.186.850.953.353.97
Opp4.973.606.519.272.231.052.751.274.2815.227.360.922.803.93
DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Jul 26, 2020boxSunawayMarinersYusei Kikuchi - LAstrosZack Greinke - R 2209.0
Jul 26, 2020boxSunawayPiratesMitch Keller - RCardinalsDakota Hudson - R 1309.0
Jul 26, 2020boxSunawayMarlinsJose Urena - RPhilliesVince Velasquez - R 1459.5
Jul 26, 2020boxSunawayBlue JaysThomas Hatch - RRaysBlake Snell - L 1758.0
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
[23-21 -1.51u]

Monday bases...
  • 907 Chicago Cubs -116 vs Cincinnati Reds
    2.61/2.25
  • 910 Tampa Bay Rays -1½ +130 vs Atlanta Braves
    2.2/2.86
  • 911 New York Yankees -133 vs Philadelphia Phillies
    2.93/2.2
  • 911 New York Yankees/Philadelphia Phillies Over 10½ -105
    2.94/2.8
  • 916 Miami Marlins -1½ +150 vs Baltimore Orioles
    1.8/2.7
  • 918 Houston Astros -1½ -125 vs Seattle Mariners
    2.5/2
  • 920 Cleveland Indians -1½ +140 vs Chicago White Sox
    2.5/3.5
  • 919 Chicago White Sox/Cleveland Indians Under 9½ +100
    2.5/2.5
  • 921 Kansas City Royals +1½ -155 vs Detroit Tigers
    2.48/1.6

.
 
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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
So far division dogs over +105 are returning 21% ROI

1595854544175.png

While all dogs are still returning 16% ROI

1595854624721.png

This after the favorites were 14-2 for the first 2 days. Sat-Sun the dogs were golden! 17-11 +65% ROI

randoms...

1595854295011.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
I have back-tracked again on the chasing the line, I am not going to limit instances to series game 2 or higher. This will facilitate more action and the numbers are actually slightly better when including qualifying game ones. Through over 1800 games and 5+ years it has returned 10.3% ROI

Breakdown by series game # ...see the game 2 is the huge winner while all games profitable and Gm 1 > Gm 4

1595856487474.png

Also of note as we seen last year, the final tally will often be different from what I run in the mornings because lines simply change and since this is a line based query, the qualifies may move in or out of set parameters. The history is based off near closing lines as the SDQL is updated typically 3-4 times daily with final update around 7pm EST.

Yesterday when I posted, qualifiers went 2-4 but at final tally they were 2-1. Four games dropped out and the MIL game added in because there was no line early yesterday when I ran the query.

Today the Yankees qualify. I am playing these moving forward at minimal amount.

1595856150480.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Still no qualifiers for the unders but numbers slightly better after I peeled the playoffs out...just forgot that yesterday.
(2-0 ytd)

1595856795367.png

0-1-1 on overs yesterday and also indicates on Yankees for today
(4-4-1 ytd)

1595856890936.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
This simple query went 3-1 yesterday so thought I would post again as it's only good for early season(first 20 games)

Hits on Jays and ChiSox today

1595858655243.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
[27-21 +6.78u]
4-0-5 YESTERDAY! +8.29u​
  • 957 Chicago Cubs* +104 vs Cincinnati Reds
    2.55/2.65
  • 961 Chicago White Sox* +105 vs Cleveland Indians
    2.6/2.73
  • 951 Toronto Blue Jays/Washington Nationals* Under 10 -110
    2.75/2.5
  • 955 Atlanta Braves/Tampa Bay Rays* Under 9 -115
    2.53/2.2
  • 971 Arizona Diamondbacks/Texas Rangers* Under 9 -105
    2.7/2.6
  • 979 San Diego Padres/San Francisco Giants* Under 8½ -107
    2.57/2.4

RANDOMS...

1595950672600.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
adds...
  • 961 Chicago White Sox/Cleveland Indians Over 10½ -105 (Game #2)
    2.73/2.6
  • 963 Kansas City Royals/Detroit Tigers* Over 11 +105
    $2.4/2.52

 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
"Chasing" action today;

Chasing the line: None 0-0 yesterday

Chasing the Unders: SF & TEX (0-0 Yesterday)

1595971433226.png

Chasing the Overs: CLE, TB & DET (0-1 yesterday and 4-4-1 ytd)

1595971484413.png

 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
1596023871868.png
  • 901 Colorado Rockies/Oakland Athletics Under 8 +103
    2.5/2.58
  • 903 Arizona Diamondbacks +116 vs Texas Rangers
    2.5/2.90
  • 905 Chicago White Sox/Cleveland Indians Under 9 +105
    2.5/2.63
  • 907 Washington Nationals -154 vs Toronto Blue Jays
    2.85/1.85
  • 910 Cincinnati Reds -1½ +170 vs Chicago Cubs
    2/3.4
  • 910 Cincinnati Reds -104 vs Chicago Cubs
    2.6/2.5
  • 909 Chicago Cubs/Cincinnati Reds Under 9½ -120
    2.88/2.4
  • 919 Boston Red Sox +176 vs New York Mets
    2/3.52
  • 921 Tampa Bay Rays +114 vs Atlanta Braves
    2.5/2.85
  • 921 Tampa Bay Rays/Atlanta Braves Under 8½ -107
    2.68/2.5
  • 924 Detroit Tigers -128 vs Kansas City Royals
    2.88/2.25
  • 923 Kansas City Royals/Detroit Tigers Under 9½ -110
    2.75/2.50
  • 927 San Diego Padres -168 vs San Francisco Giants
    2.77/1.65

 
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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Chasing the line

Indicates LAA, COL, SD, DET & MIN for today
...but tread lightly as it has only went 7-12 so far this season.
1596042871530.png

Chasing unders is 3-0-1 on year an 1-0-1 yesterday

Indicates 5 games today: OAK, PIT, TEX, CIN, DET

1596043344394.png

Chasing overs: 0-2 yesterday and none indicated for today
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
1596110679230.png
  • 959 Kansas City Royals -121 vs Detroit Tigers
    2.42/2
  • 961 Tampa Bay Rays/Atlanta Braves Under 8½ +101
    2.6/2.63
  • 963 Boston Red Sox +140 vs New York Mets
    2.5/3.5
  • 963 Boston Red Sox/New York Mets Over 9½ +107
    2.71/2.90
  • 965 Cleveland Indians/Minnesota Twins Under 8½ -109
    2.96/2.72
  • 967 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +105 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
    2.8/2.94
  • 970 Los Angeles Angels -1½ -105 vs Seattle Mariners
    2.73/2.6
  • 973 New York Yankees/Baltimore Orioles Over 10½ +105
    2.6/2.73

 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
few more...​
  • 951 Chicago Cubs +108 vs Cincinnati Reds
    2.5/2.7
  • 967 Los Angeles Dodgers -153 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
    2.91/1.9
  • 970 Los Angeles Angels -197 vs Seattle Mariners
    2.96/1.5
  • 971 San Diego Padres -171 vs San Francisco Giants
    2.99/1.75
  • 973 New York Yankees -215 vs Baltimore Orioles
    3.01/1.4
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
1596212280580.png
1596212326453.png


Have had a great first week of bases, here to continuing it! :cheers3:
  • 905 Tampa Bay Rays* -179 vs Baltimore Orioles
    3.79/2.12
  • 908 New York Yankees* -172 vs Boston Red Sox
    3.78/2.2
  • 912 Atlanta Braves* -127 vs New York Mets
    3.05/2.4
  • 919 San Diego Padres* -105 vs Colorado Rockies
    2.94/2.8
  • 923 Houston Astros* -169 vs Los Angeles Angels
    3.68/2.18
  • 927 Los Angeles Dodgers* -126 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
    3.02/2.4
  • 929 Oakland Athletics* -190 vs Seattle Mariners
    3.8/2
  • 907 Boston Red Sox/New York Yankees* Over 10 -115
    2.76/2.4
  • 911 New York Mets/Atlanta Braves* Over 10½ +100
    2.65/2.65
  • 915 Chicago White Sox* -1½ -105 vs Kansas City Royals
    2.73/2.6
  • 919 San Diego Padres/Colorado Rockies* Under 11½ -115
    2.71/2.36
  • 925 Texas Rangers/San Francisco Giants* Under 8 -110
    2.75/2.5
  • 929 Oakland Athletics* -1½ -120 vs Seattle Mariners
    2.88/2.4

 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Chasing the line today...

Sides (2-1 last night and10-15 YTD)

Tonight - A's & LAA

1596213985488.png

Unders (0-0 last night and 5-2-1 YTD)

Tonight - Rox

1596213628447.png

Overs (2-1 last night and 6-8-1 YTD)

Tonight - ATL

1596213740867.png

 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
ROLLING MODEL OUT TODAY FOR 1 DAY PRACTICE RUN TO SEE HOW IT FARES.

TWO TOP PLAYS INDICATED FOR TODAY (TB & COL) AND ONE REVERSE VALUE SELECTION (BOS)

1596214816347.png

I'm not playing or tracking today, just a test run before I begin on Aug 1
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
First bad day of the year. Fridays have always been tough for me for whatever reason. Time to bounce back...

1596282806143.png
  1. 952 Detroit Tigers* +165 vs Cincinnati Reds
    2/3.3
  2. 959 Tampa Bay Rays* -1½ -135 vs Baltimore Orioles
    3.24/2.4
  3. 959 Tampa Bay Rays* -202 vs Baltimore Orioles
    4.04/2
  4. 963 New York Mets* +114 vs Atlanta Braves
    2.8/3.19
  5. 973 San Diego Padres/Colorado Rockies* Over 12½ -110
    2.75/2.5
  6. 975 Pittsburgh Pirates* +141 vs Chicago Cubs
    2.5/3.53
  7. 977 Oakland Athletics* -146 vs Seattle Mariners
    3.29/2.25

 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Trial run for model went 6-6 which was better than I did. 0-2 on value plays, but I will throw that out and start tracking today August 1. Still dealing mostly with pitcher stats from last year and limited trend influence. Also I have adjusted home advantage down 50% of what it was, figuring there is still some advantage to not traveling and ballpark familiarity. Gonna tread lightly here early with $40 on the value plays only. Will see how it goes.

Two value plays today: CUBS & HOU

1596286485892.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Yankees and Astros continue to roll. Favorable pitching matchups in both. No Trout. Elite offenses. I'm going to keep riding them for now. A lot of high scoring games. Pens are depleted and starters are not going deep. Will definitely lean on teams with good bullpens. Mets are always scary...sweat till final out.


adding...​
967 Houston Astros -1½ -110 vs Los Angeles Angels
2.75/2.5

Would have played Cubs too based on model, but already siding with Bucs so leggo!
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
adding two more​
  • 969 Boston Red Sox* +154 vs New York Yankees
    2.15/3.31
  • 957 Chicago White Sox/Kansas City Royals* Over 10½ -110
    2.42/2.2

:cheers3:
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Rough day yesterday, that's 2 straight and enough already! :oops:

[58-54 +4.47u]​
  • 901 Tampa Bay Rays -178 vs Baltimore Orioles
    3.92/2.2
  • 906 Atlanta Braves -116 vs New York Mets
    3.48/3
  • 916 Chicago Cubs -188 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    3.76/2
  • 919 San Diego Padres -118 vs Colorado Rockies
    2.95/2.5
  • 923 Houston Astros -124 vs Los Angeles Angels
    3.1/2.5
  • 925 Los Angeles Dodgers -180 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
    3.87 To Win $2.15
  • 901 Tampa Bay Rays/Baltimore Orioles Over 9½ -110
    2.75
    To Win $2.5
  • 905 New York Mets/Atlanta Braves Over 11 -105
    2.63/2.5

 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
adds​
  • 911 Cleveland Indians +113 vs Minnesota Twins
    3/3.39
  • 911 Cleveland Indians/Minnesota Twins Over 9½ +105
    2.6/2.73

 
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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Well fuck, gave back 30u profit in 3 days. Nice weekend :doh:

1596459322220.png
  • 958 Atlanta Braves +108 vs New York Mets
    2.5/2.7
  • 963 Kansas City Royals +145 vs Chicago Cubs
    2.6/3.77
  • 965 San Francisco Giants +122 vs Colorado Rockies
    2.6/3.17
  • 967 Oakland Athletics -180 vs Seattle Mariners
    5.4/3
  • 957 New York Mets/Atlanta Braves Under 8 -110
    3.08/2.8
  • 959 Pittsburgh Pirates/Minnesota Twins Over 9½ -105
    2.94/2.8
  • 965 San Francisco Giants/Colorado Rockies Over 13 -105
    2.73
    /2.6
  • 967 Oakland Athletics -1½ -115 vs Seattle Mariners
    2.99/2.6
  • 969 Los Angeles Dodgers/San Diego Padres Under 8 -105
    2.73/2.6
  • 972 New York Yankees -1½ -150 vs Philadelphia Phillies
    3.3/2.2

 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Maybe I should just stick with the model as it had a 2nd straight good day. Going 8-4 overall and 1-1 on value plays. Even hit the reverse value play on BAL but I haven't played them in a long time.

Today's selections... LAD, CUBS, CLE

1596463537767.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
adding these including buying off Royos with a little extra on Cubs, fortunate to get a great early price on KC​
  • 951 Cleveland Indians +131 vs Cincinnati Reds
    2.2/2.88
  • 964 Chicago Cubs -140 vs Kansas City Royals
    5.6/4
  • 969 Los Angeles Dodgers -130 vs San Diego Padres
    3.25/2.5

 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Chasing the line:

Sides 4-1 yesterday but 0-5 Saturday. YTD 14-23 :oops:

1596464617381.png

Unders 1-0 yesterday and 6-3-1 YTD
Four games selected today but both ATL and SD tots have moved to 8 which will take them off list

1596464808955.png

Overs 0-1 yesterday and 8-10-1 YTD

1596464893585.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
you wanna talk hot trend, check this one out (8-2 last 10)

first 20 games of the year, away dog of 125 or more, after a loss in a day game when neither team has rest.
5+ years = +48.2% ROI at average +159 line

Today KC, SF, PIT

1596469654078.png

 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
[78-82 -5.24u]​
  • 908 Tampa Bay Rays -140 vs Boston Red Sox
    4.13/2.95
  • 911 New York Mets/Washington Nationals Under 9 +105
    2.8/2.94
  • 924 Oakland Athletics -147 vs Texas Rangers
    4.12/2.8
  • 925 Los Angeles Dodgers -122 vs San Diego Padres
    3.48/2.85
  • 930 Seattle Mariners +178 vs Los Angeles Angels
    2/3.56

 
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