Discussion in 'COLLEGE BASKETBALL (NCAAB)' started by Johnnyonthespot, Feb 2, 2018.
Good points but big line movement for Oregon despite % of wagers for UW. Just scares me
Honestly I don't really believe or read anything into those bet percentage numbers. No clue if they accurate, more importantly even if they are it doesn't really mean anything to me.
I've always been of the belief the line either moves because injury/player info or because money moved it. I've never been 1 to think just cause someone betting more makes them any smarter or more likely to know outcome than me
Played some early totals
Nice call mate.
Thoughts on USC/AZ state?
Hou 2h -5.5 -105
SMU gonna stop draining threes?
Oregon St u143.5/-105
Sleep is important, but it's the quality that really matters
Great night for sleep
Whats your take on waking up for antibiotics? You wake up to keep the every 8 hours guideline or you take the pill early/late to have uninterrupted sleep?
Nope 6 hours is my ideal and I take nothing. Still on the downslope from Aussie Open and will deal with 3 and 4am mornings but they're getting weeded out. Just woke up so that happened
Prefer 2-8am sleep, not close atm
Arizona state -3 big
Note to self, huskies offense is atrocious! lol
Kinda agree. I've seen tons of guys feeling USC today, i don't see it. Like over a little bit.
Friday night is always a good chance to get ready for Saturday. I only focus on Power 5 otherwise I suffer. I played 2 tonight based on home/aways and my instinct.. My instinct feels better about the over but I know not to trust my instinct when it comes to NOT flat betting
URI u143 /-105
IND o144/ -105
1st thing I thought when looking at this card was "Hoosiers really laying 7?!?". Then I see if their 6 conf wins 3 have been by more than that. Then I look at gophers and during this 1-9 stretch 6 have been losses by more than 7 but their last 2 against superior squads (3 point ot loss at michigan and a 6 point home loss to Nebraska). Guess that all saying the 7 point line isn't that out of whack as I kinda thought at 1st glance. Lol
Princeton/Harvard over 131.., last 2 Harvard games they have allowed teams to hit well above their season averages from behind the arc, Princeton 37th in country taking almost 45% of their shots from 3. Harvard defensive numbers are enhanced by creating turnovers 20% of possessions and I doubt that happens here as tigers tops in ivy at valuing the rock. Tigers defense been sloppy and Harvard has been stroking it from behind the arc. Little scary cause obviously not gonna have much up and down as both play slow half court games so we gonna need execution and shot making to get us here but I don't think that a unreasonable ask at all. Always think it a little telling when books come in a handful of points above KP projections as well.
Really debated here between side and total as Princeton +125 feels like has some value as well, I just hate playing side and total (hard enough to get 1 right, lol) , little more confident with the over as I prefer my road doggies to play little better defense than what Princeton typically offers.
No way Detroit keeps this shooting up in second half?
Looking forward to UVA game. Want to bet it but I think spread is on the money. They are cover machine and 2-10 under last 12. VAtech likes to go over, good sized dogs, spread prolly decided late, prolly some fouling. I love both these coaches. They bring it. Bring me an over goddamnit
UVA o128 /-105
WVU looks like bait on monday
Think the total dropping has created little bit of value on the over. 2 most efficient offenses in big-12 play, wvu shot freaking horrid the 1st meeting (as in 37% from inside the arc and 26% behind it) and they still managed to combine for 155!! Gotta believe those will both increase significantly at home vs a pretty awful tcu defense (as in 283rd in country effective fg percentages against!). Both got a ton of offensive boards the 1st meeting and don't see much reason there not a bunch more 2nd chance points here. Frogs have best turnover percentage in big 12, don't turn it over vs wvu and you can usually get good looks. Should be a bunch of fts again, wvu fouls a ton tcu not as bad but not great in big-12 play either. I think the 160 opener was much closer to where this ends up that the 153.5 it currently at now. Especially like it if you correct and game closer than spread.
Doesn't that unc line seem really high? Laying dd to Irish in 3rd game in 5 days?
And coming off very emotional win
I'll bet the ETSU/NCG game is going to be a good one.
I'm on ETSU +130
Tar Heels 10-2 over at home, ND 3-5 road. Brey cant run tonight, he doesnt have the ponys. big time peeps on over. ND just played 2 high scoring games at home. I dont think so tonight. Played to 137 at ND 68-69 nd loss 1/13
ML that puppy
UNC 2nd half -5.5 /-110
Baylor u 132/-108
curious on your Mizzou thots with TAMU down to Starks and Gilder in the backcourt
We had it covered for 45 minutes. What can you do.
I like the Mizzou chemistry. Would be wild if Porter came back. Will research. Happy Tuesday.
Any MW guys here? Caleb Martin injury could be huge
Random comment. I hate Frank Martin. He is a freak. Last year was aberration. He is meaner than me when I feel mean. Dudes must hate him. Grabbing Bowen is the type of dude he is. They got amazing recruit cause Frank is so earnest in the family room but insane as a leader. Fade this team, fade this man.
Another man to fade is Fran McCaffrey. He is a freak and a loser too. Iowa needs to dump his frumpy aunt ass.
I don't like McCaffrey, he is definitely fade material can't coach defense....
Iowa St only avg at home this year, Kansas better on road, jayhawks off loss and have grueling stretch to conf tourney. I will fade Iowa St off OK rout and their injury issues
Kansas -7 /-107
About to jump on Missouri bandwagon. Gwarner brings up great point. A&M is short 3 guards
Mizz -2.5/ -102
Georgetown best in BE on road and have been playing better, kind of like st johns
Butler best at home in BE
If I was a grandmaster I I would play Butler -12 and GT +650
Kansas best under in Big 12 on road. u152.5/-105
Interesting how UVA total has moved up and short line in Lincoln.
Mizzou u139 /-105
a&m got no playmaking
For those that missed Georgetown at +660, available at half for +250. We are gambling
Going to listen to UVA game. Started with Miami u26.5 1st half.
UVA 2nd half o63/-110
Bama 2nd half o76/-110
Clemson is poor away 2-5. FSU 6-3 home. Tonight Grantham loss is obvious. I like Noles to roll
Thinking on VT/Duke They were toying with GT. VT off big win. Kind of think Duke crushes. Bagley out again. IIf I was to play VT it would be +480 but I dont think so
In Duke loss, they also lossed Alvarado that I think is overrated but played 2 tall frosh that were pretty good that got zero run before. Wake has injuries too. All this evil Pastner nonsense, I think GT plays with new attitude. Season is almost done let us be a little freer. If they dont win, they get crushed and season is done.
GT sucks on road and wake sucks at home, so there is that too
GT +5.5/-105 & ML +210
NC State 1-5 away
Syracuse making a push