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Coca-Cola 600 Preview Article

VirginiaCavs

Man Crush on Kyle Guy
NASCAR Coca-Cola 600 Top Betting Pick


NASCAR Cup Series at Charlotte Motor Speedway
Sunday, May 24, 2020 at 6 p.m. ETon FOX


Race Info

Sunday’s NASCAR event is coined the Coca-Cola 600 because 600 miles will be driven in 400 laps.

This is therefore NASCAR’s longest race and the only event that comprises four stages. Each stage consists in 100 laps.

So, starting position will be rather uninteresting to note for the Coca-Cola 600.

This detail should encourage you to place your wagers as soon as you like. There’s no reason to wait.

In case you’re curious, actual starting position as well as stalls for pit selection will be determined by race-day qualifying.

Martin Truex Jr: Form

My bet will be on Martin Truex Jr. to win the Coca-Cola 600.

One may be skeptical of Truex Jr. for the following reason, that I want to address:

Truex Jr. has not enjoyed his best season.

Whereas 2019 was, for him, filled with top-10 finishes, the same cannot be said for Truex Jr. in 2020.

Before the COVID-19-induced break, Truex Jr. had accomplished only one top-10 finish in six competitions.

But this break has apparently benefitted Truex Jr. because he has finished top-10 in each of the last two races.

His two recent top-10 finishes are noteworthy considering the fact that they took place at Darlington Raceway.

Truex Jr.’s history is less than impressive at Darlington Raceway where he averages a finishing position outside the top 10 and where his past two finishes were also outside the top 10.

In both 2020 races at Darlington, he started outside of the top 10, but then finished sixth and 10th, respectively.

Because those races were shorter and given the track’s features, such as its narrowness, passing was more difficult than it would be on Sunday.

By comparing his last performances at Darlington with his history there, it’s evident that he boasts strong racing form.

So without any reason to be skeptical of Truex Jr., let’s look at some reasons for backing him:

History

Truex Jr.’s history at Charlotte Motor Speedway is solid: he’s finished top-three at that track in each of the past four years. Last year, he won the Coca-Cola 600.

Style

Truex Jr., is open about his proclivity for racing on old asphalt surfaces. The Chicagoland Speedway is one other historically grounded example that has provided the context for his expression of this stylistic proclivity.

Charlotte Motor Speedway, too, offers an older asphalt surface.

Trends

Note two trends that apply to Truex Jr.

One: four of the last five competitors who won this event drove a Toyota.

Two, the past two winners of this event formed a part of the Joe Gibbs Racing team.

Kyle Busch

You might ask: don’t both trends apply to Kyle Busch, as well, and hasn’t he been performing well, lately?

Yes, but here’s why I definitely prefer Truex Jr:

Truex Jr. has a better race history than Busch at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

I base this comparison on average finishing position and by comparing average finishing position with average starting position. I also base this comparison on recent history.

Plus, I wonder if Chase Elliott will not retaliate and knock Kyle Busch out of the race after Busch ruined Elliott’s chances of winning the last race. Elliott could only respond by showing Busch the middle finger.

The Verdict

Given his track history, his current form, his style, and with key trends in mind, Martin Truex Jr., should be the man you invest your money in to win the Coca-Cola 600.

At sportsbooks like BetOnline and 5Dimes, you will see that oddsmakers underrate Truex Jr as the result of superficial data like overall standings that do not appreciate the reasoning that I have given in favor of Truex Jr.

Best Bet: Martin Truex Jr. To Win Coca-Cola 600 (Odds TBA)
 

Ryno14

Well-Known Member
Just a quick rant to fellow gamblers here that may have watched the race...I had a large wager on Truex over Harvick and Byron over Kurt Busch. That blowout with 2 laps to go when it was a breakaway and just coasting after green forever - cost me lots of money. I still can’t believe it happened. Ironically, my buddy texted me 3 minutes before that and said “looking great on both!!!!” Definitely a damper on the holiday weekend, but I’ve still enjoyed the heck out of it with family and friends. Hope you all have done the same.
 

B.A.R.

CTG Partner
Staff member
Just a quick rant to fellow gamblers here that may have watched the race...I had a large wager on Truex over Harvick and Byron over Kurt Busch. That blowout with 2 laps to go when it was a breakaway and just coasting after green forever - cost me lots of money. I still can’t believe it happened. Ironically, my buddy texted me 3 minutes before that and said “looking great on both!!!!” Definitely a damper on the holiday weekend, but I’ve still enjoyed the heck out of it with family and friends. Hope you all have done the same.
That sucks
 

VirginiaCavs

Man Crush on Kyle Guy
Shit I didn't know that. I just saw the results and figured I was just off. At least we can be proud of our capping?
 

VirginiaCavs

Man Crush on Kyle Guy
So. If people still see this... if you know my writing style you know I like to try to make my articles very technical. I was wondering if anybody had any good sources for me where I could learn about this sort of stuff...mechanical grip, non-mechanical grip....specifics about the cars that the different racers drive... etc. If it isn't already obvious, i'm very much more knowledgable about like every other sport lol. I need to make these articles a lot better than they are. I've spent a lot of time googling to very little avail.
 
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