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caboto NFL 2019

Looks like 2-3-1 -1.16 at the moment. Redskins won't cover through the backdoor and I hope the Broncos will win and cover.

Add Seahawks -3.5 @-116 to win 1u
 
Record regular season comes tomorrow, probably down 5u

Playoffs:
Most points WC-weekend: Sainst-Vikings @135 to win 1,35u
Bills +2,5 @102 to win 1.02u
Pats -4 @-111 to win 1u
 
Week 17
Redskins +12,5 @-116 to win 1u L
Saints -13,5 @-110 to win 1u W
Dolphins +21,5 & under 51 @100 to win 1u P
Chiefs -3,5 & under 51,5 @100 to win 1u L
Bucs ML @-110 to win 1u L
Broncos -3,5 @-108 to win 1u L
Seahawks -3.5 @-116 to win 1u L


Week 17: 1-4-1 -4,5 ROI: 3,1/7,6 -> -59,2%
Overall: 66-76-6 (including 8-17 parlays) -5,12 ROI: 182,37/187,49-> -2,7%
Parlays excluded: 58-59-4 –6,06u ROI: 153,29/159,35-> -3,8%
 
Playoffs so far 0-4 -4,22

Could have been a good day, if the Bills wouldn't have got that 15-yard-penalty and maybe had scored the 22-19 winning field goal. 4 unit swing.
I do like the over and the Saints, but I liked the Titans also and bought off my Titans +5,5 bet to middle with Pats -4,5 and ended up playing Pats -4. Just a dumb play and reasoning: the Pats won't lose a playoff game at home.....
Tend to play the Eagles who seems to be on a run. Wentz got hot and passed over 400 yards last 4 games? Eagles a little less banged up than the Seahawks. Still time to think, maybe too much.
 
Brees over 2,5 TD passes @130 to win 0,65u
Kamara over 99,5 rushing & receiving yards @-109 to win 0,5u
Eagles - Seahawks under 45,5 @-115 to win 2u
 
Wildcard
Most points WC-weekend: Sainst-Vikings @135 to win 1,35u
Bills +2,5 @102 to win 1.02u
Pats -4 @-111 to win 1u
Bills TT over 20.5 @-101 to win 1u
Texans-Bills over 42.5 @-108 to win 1u
Saints -3,5 & over 44 @100 to win 2u
Saints -7,5 @-108 to win 1u
Brees over 2,5 TD passes @130 to win 0,65u
Kamara over 99,5 rushing & receiving yards @-109 to win 0,5u

Eagles - Seahawks under 45,5 @-115 to win 2u

2-10 -5,97u

Divisional

Vikings +7 @-108 to win 1u
Vikings TT over 17.5 @-110 to win 1u

Packers -4 @-111 to win 2u
Chiefs -8,5 @-115 to win 1u
Chiefs -9,5 @-110 to win 2u
ML parlay Chiefs / Packers / Jazz @140 to win 1,15u


4-2 +3,97

Overall: 6-12 -2u
 
Chiefs -6,5 @-112 to win 2u
Chiefs over 51,5 @-111 to win 1u
Chiefs over 52,5 @-110 to win 1u


Played the over @52,5 because I didn't expected it to went down again... So another one on the over 51,5

Packers +8 @-113 to win 1u
Packers over 46 @-109 to win 1u
Packers TT over 17,5 @-120 to win 1u
 
Last edited:
5-1 +4,87u Conference Games
Playoffs overall: overall: 11-13 +2,87u
Regular season overall: 66-76-6 (including 8-17 parlays) -5,12 ROI: 182,37/187,49-> -2,7%
--------------------------------------
-2,25u and one game to finish even (moneywise)
 
Chiefs ML @-120 to win 5u

If I lose, down 7u over the season and obviously not happy about it, but it's fun money and won't hurt.

Both teams nearly even, so finally after a lot of reading arguments, opinions, facts and watching football, I have two points that made me chose KC:

1.) Andy Reid off a bye.
2.) Quarterback advantage Chiefs.

Wouldn't be sursprised to a 49ers win, and if they deserve it, so be I it and congratulations. But I'm rooting for the Chiefs.
 
Playoffs 20-8 +17,58 units
Regular Season : 82-105-1 -12,06 units

----------------------------------------------
NFL 2018/19: 102-113-1 +5,52 units


Playoffs 12-13 +7,87 units
Regular season overall: 66-76-6 (including 8-17 parlays) -5,12 units
--------------------------------------
NFL 2019/20: 78-89-6 +2,75 units


Should only bet the playoffs. Would like to thank CTG members for sharing thoughts, that helped me to get some winners. Try to contribute as well, but due to lack of time and knowledge I can post thoughts and stats only occasionally. Stay healthy and continue your good work!

Thanks :shake:
 
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